The FlopRate this Topic
Posted on Nov 2nd 2006  Subject: The Flop
Probability of Hitting Certain Hands on the Flop
Probability/Odds
Two suited cards hitting a flush .008 124 to 1
Two suited cards hitting a flush draw .11 8 to 1
Two cards such as AK flopping trips .014 70 to 1
Two cards such as AK hitting a pair .021 47 to 1
Two cards such as AK hitting atleast one A or K .324 2.1 to 1
Any pocket pair hittin atleast a set .118 7.5 to 1
They say if you can't spot the sucker within 30 minutes, you're it. I saw 9 of them the second I sat down.
Vaughn
Posted on Nov 2nd 2006  Subject: Probability of Flopping a Straight
Probability/Odds
AK, AQ, AJ, AT, K9, Q8, J7, T6, 95...  .003, 332 to 1
84, 73, 62, A5, A4, A3, and A2
KQ, KJ, KT, Q9, J8, T7, 96, 85, 74, 63...  .007, 142 to 1
52, 42, 32
QJ, QT, J9, T8, 97, 86, 64, 53, or 43  .010, 99 to 1
JT, T9, 98, 87, 76, 65, or 54  .013, 76 to 1
They say if you can't spot the sucker within 30 minutes, you're it. I saw 9 of them the second I sat down.
Vaughn
Posted on Nov 2nd 2006  Subject: Probability of Flopping an 8Out Straight Draw
Flopping an 8Out Straight Draw / Probability / Odds
KQ, KJ, KT, Q9, J8, T7, 96, 85, 74, 63...  .031, 31 to 1
52, 42, or 32 (no double bellybusters)
QJ, QT, J9, T8, 97, 86, 75, 64,53, or 43  .065, 14 to 1
(includes one double bellybuster)
JT, T9, 98, 87, 76, 65, or 54  .10, 9 to 1
(includes two double bellybusters)
They say if you can't spot the sucker within 30 minutes, you're it. I saw 9 of them the second I sat down.
Vaughn
Posted on Nov 2nd 2006  Subject: Probability of Flopping a Straight or 8Out Straight Draw
Flopping a straight or straight draw / Probability / Odds
AK, AQ, AJ, A4, A3, A2  .003, 332 to 1
3Gapped Hands: AT, K9, Q8, J7, T6,  .006, 166 to 1
95...
84, 73, 62, A5
KQ, KJ, KT, Q9, J8, T7, 96, 85, 74, 63...  .038, 25 to 1
52, 42, or 32
QJ, QT, J9, T8, 97, 86, 64, 53, or 43  .075, 12 to 1
JT, T9, 98, 87, 76, 65, or 54  .113, 8 to 1
They say if you can't spot the sucker within 30 minutes, you're it. I saw 9 of them the second I sat down.
Vaughn
Posted on Dec 6th 2006
None of those odds seem all that great,thats why we need 5% luck as a kicker!
Posted on Dec 12th 2006
i think you have way to much time lol :)
Posted on Dec 16th 2006
Man you think about the odds way too much. You probably sound just like Phil Helmuth Jr. when you play too.
Posted on Dec 18th 2006
What are the odds that we already know the odds and are posting for nibs.
live free love life and play poker
Posted on Dec 19th 2006
wow.. thanks man, i really wanted to know that1
0ontario0
Posted on Dec 19th 2006
Yes thanks .
I didn't understand a thing you wrote but maybe i'm too french !lol
A bit crazy but then...You're free to say what you want !
Posted on Dec 20th 2006
how did you come up with all of the precentages?
0ontario0
Posted on Dec 21st 2006
preflop odds are useless
any 2 cards can win
Posted on Jan 10th 2007
I've played with you at your cheap ass home games vaughn. You need to quit worrying about those numbers and learn how to read tells on me. If you don't then I'm going to come back and bust your pocket kings with my 5/7 suited again.
B
Posted on Jan 11th 2007
Probability of Hitting Certain Hands on the Flop
Probability/Odds
Two suited cards hitting a flush .008 124 to 1
Two suited cards hitting a flush draw .11 8 to 1
Two cards such as AK flopping trips .014 70 to 1
Two cards such as AK hitting a pair .021 47 to 1
Two cards such as AK hitting atleast one A or K .324 2.1 to 1
Any pocket pair hittin atleast a set .118 7.5 to 1
1st
Two cards such as AK hitting a pair .021 47 to 1 ???
Maybe I dont understand that one... but definately you are better than 47:1 to hit a pair with any hand....
2nd
Where do you play? I saw the kind of table you describe only once and it was on a video game!
Even at .02/.04NL there is always 1 or 2 players who know what tehy are doing.... I dont say they are top notch players but definitely at least average players.
KJ
Posted on Jan 14th 2007
Odd are important at any stage.
